Press
Resources for journalists, editors, and analysts covering event risk markets.
About Belief Systems
Belief Systems is an index provider that transforms prediction market data into institutional-grade benchmarks for event risk. The firm constructs rules-based, thematic indices derived from market-implied probabilities across political, geopolitical, and policy-driven outcomes — asset classes that are structurally absent from traditional institutional portfolios. Designed for research, portfolio analysis, and hedging, Belief Systems indices offer first-order exposure to discontinuous events where conventional instruments capture only second-order price effects. Founded in 2025, the firm serves institutional investors, research desks, and risk managers seeking quantified, transparent, and continuously updated measures of event-driven uncertainty.
Key Facts
Index provider for event risk
2025
Rules-based indices derived from aggregated prediction market consensus
Political risk, geopolitical risk, policy risk, macro uncertainty
Institutional investors, research desks, risk managers
United States
Logo and Brand Assets
Logo files in SVG and PNG formats, light and dark variants.
Download Logo Kit (.zip)Founder

James Stewart
Founder & CEOLinkedIn ↗James Stewart is the founder and CEO of Belief Systems. He previously held roles at BlackRock, Genesis, Eigen Labs, and SoFi, spanning institutional asset management, digital asset markets, and consumer finance. He founded Belief Systems to build the indexing and structured product layer for event risk — an asset class absent from institutional portfolios.
Methodology and Documentation
Full index methodology, construction rules, and governance documentation are publicly available.
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